Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.214200 11.778089 13.456407 15.386243 17.538567 19.859744 22.546746
2025-09-07 8.026664 10.117225 12.522019 15.472570 18.973599 22.972958 27.863536
2025-09-14 6.667715 9.004012 11.837668 15.486505 20.015596 25.405525 32.253351
2025-09-21 5.765480 8.258399 11.420441 15.658498 21.115398 27.825776 36.612124
2025-09-28 5.002221 7.564319 10.949207 15.651459 21.904806 29.816615 40.447590
2025-10-05 4.532186 7.191215 10.832122 16.049352 23.181551 32.424599 45.115517
2025-10-12 4.099864 6.810541 10.649799 16.312660 24.253238 34.771636 49.498183
2025-10-19 3.681690 6.396609 10.370062 16.395434 25.050033 36.751965 53.435519
2025-10-26 3.189249 5.809781 9.778906 15.972320 25.089507 37.675464 55.949008
2025-11-02 2.795925 5.332014 9.301589 15.665628 25.251875 38.742548 58.660492
2025-11-09 2.450129 4.890771 8.836957 15.332736 25.337000 39.677642 61.190059
2025-11-16 2.158732 4.507258 8.426717 15.044906 25.456004 40.642371 63.766874
2025-11-23 1.863399 4.084682 7.919892 14.572950 25.274152 41.169435 65.750464
2025-11-30 1.698850 3.883146 7.765255 14.654496 25.943012 42.964370 69.623640
2025-12-07 1.541663 3.675939 7.580657 14.667807 26.494040 44.589238 73.281984
2025-12-14 1.423428 3.531060 7.492230 14.832281 27.285704 46.595101 77.555341
2025-12-21 1.293753 3.346240 7.313946 14.825548 27.789509 48.164771 81.205026
2025-12-28 1.225807 3.283864 7.356949 15.206098 28.943838 50.775367 86.503365
2026-01-04 1.147902 3.189987 7.331052 15.457970 29.886731 53.075214 91.377369
2026-01-11 1.057559 3.056447 7.215984 15.537155 30.533134 54.915843 95.578699
2026-01-18 0.926667 2.809983 6.853901 15.132418 30.319769 55.357422 97.587778
2026-01-25 0.820696 2.607764 6.562753 14.839099 30.280434 56.069562 100.029991
2026-02-01 0.723962 2.413690 6.270089 14.520773 30.175595 56.660689 102.281986